Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 0.254057 0.294571 0.340985 0.398426 0.468061 0.550328 0.655737
2025-08-17 0.190930 0.242060 0.307498 0.398826 0.525313 0.697871 0.957450
2025-08-24 0.154000 0.207822 0.282362 0.396055 0.570490 0.837592 1.297762
2025-08-31 0.128883 0.182315 0.260917 0.389479 0.603792 0.965379 1.667066
2025-09-07 0.114649 0.168942 0.253154 0.399807 0.663706 1.151966 2.217977
2025-09-14 0.100280 0.152562 0.237116 0.391986 0.688788 1.282514 2.720294
2025-09-21 0.090832 0.142348 0.228992 0.395511 0.734796 1.468488 3.446093
2025-09-28 0.082423 0.132523 0.219712 0.394566 0.771065 1.645995 4.258935
2025-10-05 0.077142 0.127260 0.217537 0.406654 0.838024 1.920645 5.542982
2025-10-12 0.072181 0.121853 0.214156 0.415409 0.899844 2.208521 7.110720
2025-10-19 0.067693 0.116713 0.210455 0.422619 0.960087 2.519706 9.067186
2025-10-26 0.064217 0.113028 0.209043 0.434591 1.036328 2.917011 11.845885
2025-11-02 0.060201 0.107936 0.204257 0.438332 1.093533 3.290789 15.071033
2025-11-09 0.056370 0.102803 0.198731 0.439390 1.144496 3.676874 19.032803
2025-11-16 0.052647 0.097483 0.192098 0.436406 1.182914 4.042366 23.600601
2025-11-23 0.049013 0.091975 0.184340 0.429037 1.205581 4.361503 28.578985
2025-11-30 0.047031 0.089723 0.183660 0.440663 1.296483 5.052853 38.753450
2025-12-07 0.043946 0.084803 0.176168 0.431865 1.313088 5.404160 46.749837
2025-12-14 0.041904 0.081962 0.173273 0.435831 1.379079 6.071963 61.369363
2025-12-21 0.039758 0.078690 0.168943 0.434767 1.426073 6.681633 78.478020
2025-12-28 0.038544 0.077398 0.169354 0.448373 1.538810 7.811840 112.561903
2026-01-04 0.037219 0.075727 0.168599 0.458234 1.640884 8.998981 159.867036
2026-01-11 0.035901 0.073950 0.167361 0.466360 1.739860 10.300209 228.179922